The market is changing
A very drastic title, just to grab your attention. I noticed lately that a lot of media outlets love to grab people’s attention by using a good title. Often, it’s not accurate and misleading but the sound bite is already out there and that’s what influences the masses. Not many people bother to read the whole article but base their opinions on these cleverly manipulated opinions. I suspect, that’s how critical thinking was abolished.
I would like to share some facts about the market and will try to avoid sharing my opinions, but before I do that, I wanted to give a round of applause to all the people that showed up to the Public Meeting at the community center last week. In case you missed the meeting, a lot of people showed up and we had a lot of great speakers. One thing I took away from this meeting was that people still care about this community. I have gotten used to seeing people’s eyes glazing over when you mention anything about politics. To my pleasant surprise I saw a nice mix of young people and experienced folks; and it warms my heart that a lot of people don’t only think about money. Job creation is nice, but change must be carefully planned with feedback from the citizens. It should never come down from the top. I’m curious to see what will happen with this proposal of rezoning but I really hope the democratic system still works here. Sorry I deviate from my main topic, but it’s important to note that communities consist of people, not empty summer houses.
It’s hard not to notice the news talking about the high level of inflation these days. In order to curb the inflation banks will be unveiling more interest rate hikes and effectively shrinking their monetary policy. A valid question is, how will it impact real estate in Canada?
What we are seeing today is a highly distorted curve of demand vs supply in the market. I think the higher interest rates will force prices down, but because the demand is still very high, I don’t think prices will decline significantly and probably only in some areas.
In addition to interest rate increases the government has proposed a freeze on foreign buyers. The government thinks that banning foreign ownership for 2 years will make an impact on affordability. I highly doubt that since foreign buyers consist of only about 3% across the country. No details have been revealed yet but as soon as I will know, I wish share.
Another controversial measure proposed by the government to cool down the market is the introduction of a “cooling off period”. Similar tool exists in a pre-build market where a buyer who buys a condo that hasn’t been built yet can rescind their offer within few days after signing the contract. Unfortunately, this proposed measure would be favoring the buyers and possibly punishing the sellers. No details have been revealed by the government yet, but I will keep you posted.
One more proposal made by the government is to create a multiple offer registry, where all offers that the seller received would be registered. I think this is a great idea to gain more transparency and trust in the system. Similar system already exists in Toronto and seems to work well. Currently there’s no details about this yet but I hope it will be rolled out soon.
Couple interesting statistics that also have an impact on real estate prices:
- more than 100,000 people moved to BC in 2021 (most since 1961)
- In BC between the years 2010-2015 we had an average of 40,000-50,000 active listings consistently every year. Since 2016 something happened and the number of available homes for sale has been considerably falling. In 2022 we are on track for about only 15,000 active listings for the year. A healthy balanced market is roughly 40,000 active listings.
We have been under a very low supply of inventory for many years and if you would like to get some hints of the core issue you could google questions like: “When was Justin Trudeau elected? What is Justin Trudeau’s immigration policy?” to get some interesting answers.
In summary, the sky is NOT falling. Prices in our area are still affordable for people coming from the city. Things will probably slow down, and we may not see as many multiple offers. Properties will take longer to sell, and prices will level off. Only time will tell.
Are you thinking of selling your home? Call me for a free home evaluation.
Roman Krzaczek REALTOR ®
Home number: 250-285-2141